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Paper trading
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 26% on 4 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 26% on 4 Mar 2025 and the low 0.3% on 15 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.6 points down, to 5.9% on 9 Mar 2025. $69.98K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 9:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 4 Mar 2025 – 15 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2025 | 26.0% |
| 15 Mar 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Valid-Caption | Yes | 907.64 |
| asafpopritkin | Yes | 119.05 |
| maksik.skuf | No | 0.02 |
| akl-4ibm | No | 0.02 |
| blyagha | No | 0.02 |
| Toastthetoast | No | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancelation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by March 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-next-friday
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