Analytics
Yes is at 20.5%, down 26 points from 46% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 46% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 20.5% on 5 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 22% on 1 Nov 2026.
$282.78 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.9K since listing. The order book holds $735.9, with a 7.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 90 trades, $436.47 bought Yes and $1.55K bought No.
The largest Yes position is HaLper with 350 shares; the largest No position is Antony82 with 501. Ten wallets hold 63.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 3:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 46.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 20.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Antony82 | No | 500.67 |
| ydxistheking | No | 451 |
| HaLper | Yes | 350 |
Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset took place on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Likud and Yashar! are included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election, regardless of whether any other parties are also included in that government. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Yashar! refers to the political party led by Gadi Eisenkot. If Yashar! contests the election as part of a joint list or alliance, Yashar! will be considered included in the government if at least one member of Yashar! serves as a Minister. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-election-yashar-and-likud-in-coalition
| buoys |
| Yes |
| 269 |
| TheOne777 | No | 258.44 |
| oristones | Yes | 228.43 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 217.19 |
| Noamikog | Yes | 199.66 |
| Notard | No | 198.96 |
| RolandDrump | No | 194 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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