Analytics
Yes is at 13.5%, down 8.5 points from 22% when the market opened on 8 Oct 2026.
Across the 17 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, the highest close was 26% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14.5%. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 14.5% on 17 Oct 2026.
$1.09K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $24.06K since listing. The order book holds $52.17K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 134 trades, $3.75K bought Yes and $4.9K bought No; the largest was a $1.84K buy of Yes at 21.3¢.
The largest Yes position is Dts33 with 8.6K shares; the largest No position is pakukudolphi with 3.5K. Ten wallets hold 76.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 8 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | 22.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 13.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dts33 | Yes | 8.64K |
| pakukudolphi | No | 3.5K |
| Ringed-Gambling | Yes | 3K |
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following groups of parties wins a combined total of 61 seats or more in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election: (a) The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu; or (b) Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-election-any-coalition-wins-a-majority
| Vespuccii |
| No |
| 3K |
| ydxistheking | No | 2.98K |
| LJa7io23MCv954j | No | 2.81K |
| amb2025 | Yes | 1.76K |
| flawfence | No | 1.2K |
| Ofers69 | Yes | 878.93 |
| Wealthy-Alluvium | Yes | 840.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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