Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 19% on 7 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 159 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 47% on 25 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 47% on 25 Jan 2026. $78.99K traded over the market's life.
86 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 159 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 19.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Juicy-Soccer | Yes | 1.43K |
| Tpezaske | Yes | 1.3K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 999.98 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/insurrection-act-invoked-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Cfleming23 | Yes | 511.82 |
| Helpful-Girlfriend | Yes | 499.81 |
| Bright Horizon 8539 | Yes | 370.98 |
| eluser | Yes | 300 |
| moon11 | Yes | 286 |
| norealtime | Yes | 229.59 |
| Newshound | Yes | 223.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
