Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 18 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 48% on 19 Mar 2026 and the low 0.2% on 30 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 6.5% on 20 Mar 2026. $35.65K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 18 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2026 | 46.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 532.7 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 300 |
| N19pm | Yes | 200 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/insurrection-act-invoked-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| fm14 | Yes | 160 |
| ma99 | Yes | 100 |
| akunai | Yes | 100 |
| Grokius | Yes | 35.07 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| Metallic-Guide | Yes | 10 |
| seisui | Yes | 9.98 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
