Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 26% on 17 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 17 Sep 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 36.5% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 17 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 22.5% on 8 Oct 2026. $8.44K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 6:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 17 Sep 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2026 | 26.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 715.86 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 300 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 95 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices#publications), currently scheduled to be released on October 21, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: this market will resolve only based on the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) figure. The “Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs” (CPIH) will not qualify. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI UK news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the ONS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/inflation-uk-annual-20260916t070000000z
| Yes |
| 42.95 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | Yes | 30 |
| Partial-Adrenalin | Yes | 28 |
| Respire | Yes | 21.22 |
| trx1 | Yes | 21 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20.09 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 20.03 |
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