Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 18% on 6 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 24.5% on 12 Aug 2024 and the low 1.1% on 1 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 24.5% on 12 Aug 2024. $55.52K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 11:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 6 Aug 2024 – 1 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2024 | 18.0% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sd2333 | Yes | 1.34K |
| Gripping-Molar | Yes | 276.47 |
| grinchofvondel | Yes | 87 |
| zzzzzzzzzzzzzz-146 | Yes | 8.32 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah personnel enter Israeli territory for combat operations between August 4, 2024 and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Israel territory includes any territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hezbollah-enters-israel-in-august
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Romanovsv | Yes | 6.67 |
| 2nd | Yes | 5.26 |
| RadLilDude | Yes | 5.25 |
| 2fat | Yes | 5 |
| SinaJ | Yes | 3.18 |
| anon12394 | Yes | 0.56 |
