Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 29.85 | $0.670 | $14.18 | -$5.82 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.670 | $1.09 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 28.57 |
| $0.350 |
| $10 |
| Dec 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.920 | $3.83 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.014 | $1.17 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.520 | $4 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Jeannette Jara come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get more than 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.520 | $4 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 26.48 | $0.038 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.61 | $0.022 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.19 | $0.456 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?No | buy | 84.75 | $0.059 | $5 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Turkey suspends diplomatic relations with Israel?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 $BTC dips below $45k before September?Yes | buy | 84.62 | $0.130 | $11 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Bank of Japan emergency rate cut in August?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September?No | buy | 22.4 | $0.045 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in August?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Bitcoin all time high in August?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Megaquake in August?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift cancels more tour dates in August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Hezbollah enters Israel in August?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Maduro out before September?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine take the Kursk Nuclear Plant by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 2024 August hottest on record?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Swan Bitcoin insolvent by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in August?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Biden speak at the DNC?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Elon blame a foreign actor for Twitter crash?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Friday?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS by August 15?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |