Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12% on 5 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 14.5% on 9 Mar 2026 and the low 0.1% on 3 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 14.5% on 9 Mar 2026. $194.94K traded over the market's life.
122 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 100 points · 5 Mar 2026 – 3 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | 12.0% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| icanseeclearnow | Yes | 4.79K |
| Volku | Yes | 3.24K |
| Funny-Squirrel | Yes | 1.82K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king
| yachaa | Yes | 1.09K |
| mt1980 | Yes | 551.5 |
| alexissoverycool | Yes | 538.15 |
| fireponbabylon | Yes | 509.18 |
| Azure Scout 6926 | Yes | 500 |
| gigantoir | Yes | 500 |
| Azure Pulse 9A7E | Yes | 500 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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