Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 40%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 8 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2025 to 6 Nov 2025, the highest close was 56.5% on 17 Sep 2025 and the lowest 28.5% on 9 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 56.5% on 17 Sep 2025. $83.23K traded over the market's life.
62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 8, 12:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 8 Aug 2025 – 6 Nov 2025, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2025 | 42.5% |
| 6 Nov 2025 | 40.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alessandro28 | No | 2K |
| FrankyFourFingers | No | 1.61K |
| shawtyseller | No | 1.12K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by May 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) will not be released by May 26, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by May 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this will qualify as a postponement. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gta-6-launch-postponed
| No |
| 618.32 |
| Extra-Large-Kill | Yes | 600.1 |
| Smilio | No | 502.35 |
| Exemplary-Pocket | No | 285.87 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 274 |
| azr | No | 152.98 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 100 |
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