Analytics
Yes is at 18.5%, down 13 points from 31% when the market opened on 18 Jun 2026.
Across the 128 daily closes on record from 18 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 55% on 24 Jun 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 7 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 18%; a month before, 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 55% on 24 Jun 2026.
$3.76K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $404.98, with a 15.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 95 trades, $29.54 bought Yes and $1.54K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Dr.PNL with 131 shares; the largest No position is PowerPicker with 115. Ten wallets hold 81.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 128 points, 18 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jun 2026 | 31.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 18.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 131.45 |
| PowerPicker | No | 115.41 |
| ourdemocracy | No | 85 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of either Governor Gavin Newsom or Jennifer Siebel Newsom between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gavin-newsom-or-his-wife-federally-charged-by-december-31-2026-20260616161140638
| adasol |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 40 |
| Haradwaith | No | 33.31 |
| lostmansoul | No | 25 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 23.62 |
| Slackjaw | Yes | 20 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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