French confidence vote fails?

Resolved

Yes, settled Sep 8, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$174.1K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 8, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 8 Sep 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.7%. Yes opened at 85.5% on 27 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2025 to 8 Sep 2025, the highest close was 98.7% on 8 Sep 2025 and the lowest 85.5% on 27 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 94.5% on 29 Aug 2025. $174.06K traded over the market's life.

38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 10, 12:49 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 27 Aug 2025 – 8 Sep 2025, chart shows 80%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Aug 2025	85.5%
8 Sep 2025	98.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
IlllIIIlIIllI	No	100K
Bright Horizon 81D6	No	6.23K
Youguys	No	4.16K
Shrill-Brink	No	3.04K

10 of 38 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou a confidence vote, scheduled for September 8, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://edition.cnn.com/2025/08/25/europe/francois-bayrou-french-confidence-vote-intl This market will resolve to "Yes" if such a confidence vote is held in France's parliament, and that vote fails to pass. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the confidence vote is rescheduled to any point up until September 22, this market will remain open until the vote occurs. If the vote is rescheduled outside that timeframe, is cancelled, or otherwise does not occur by September 22, 2025, 11:59 PM GMT, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.