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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.63 | $0.910 | $9.67 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| buy |
| 21.05 |
| $0.190 |
| $4 |
| Sep 16, 2025 |
| buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| buy | 19.24 | $0.052 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
2025 September 4th or lower hottest on record?Yes | buy | 620 | $0.005 | $3 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.997 | $13.47 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 34.05 | $0.029 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
2025 September 4th or lower hottest on record?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.021 | $3 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.24 | $0.097 | $4 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Brighton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Aug 31, 2025 |
French confidence vote fails?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Aug 31, 2025 |
French confidence vote fails?No | buy | 200.9 | $0.050 | $10 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Aug 31, 2025 |
2025 September 4th or lower hottest on record?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 31, 2025 |
2025 September hottest on record?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
2025 September second hottest on record?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Aug 31, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.370 | $4 | Aug 31, 2025 |