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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 132 | $0.430 | $46.86 | -$9.9 |
 Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 333 | $0.010 | $3.33 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.38K |
| $0.023 |
| $7.14 |
| -$48.57 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 10 | $0.470 | $4.97 | +$0.27 |
| buy |
| 16.15 |
| $0.410 |
| $6.62 |
| Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 46.29 | $0.410 | $18.98 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.024 | $31.32 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.012 | $0.5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.006 | $0.86 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 102.99 | $0.231 | $23.79 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.999 | $14.99 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by September 30?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.060 | $10.2 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 French confidence vote fails?No | buy | 304 | $0.050 | $15.2 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.003 | $0.04 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 California redistricting referendum passes?No | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.290 | $13.05 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 333 | $0.015 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.080 | $24.8 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.350 | $49 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.260 | $27.56 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.590 | $200.6 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.590 | $28.91 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.670 | $53.6 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.710 | $34.08 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.740 | $55.5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.190 | $28.5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Nick Delehanty win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 310.4 | $0.027 | $8.34 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Yes | buy | 290 | $0.070 | $20.3 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Nick Delehanty win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.029 | $0.58 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.003 | $0.08 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.280 | $11.2 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.220 | $19.8 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.260 | $15.08 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before August?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 211.11 | $0.190 | $40.11 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 163.51 | $0.072 | $11.76 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.073 | $0.8 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 112.5 | $0.240 | $27 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 606.42 | $0.049 | $30 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 53.19 | $0.505 | $26.84 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 138.09 | $0.220 | $30.38 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 53.19 | $0.470 | $25 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 597.46 | $0.042 | $25 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.240 | $6 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 222.57 | $0.045 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 456.36 | $0.055 | $25 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.240 | $25 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| UK strike on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 411.16 | $0.061 | $25 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |