Analytics
Yes is at 74.3%, up 28 points from 46.5% when the market opened on 15 Aug 2026.
Across the 72 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 94.5% on 16 Aug 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 15 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 78.8%; a month before, 62.1%. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 94.5% on 16 Aug 2026.
$610.1 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $13.66, with a 48.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 27 trades, $215.59 bought Yes and $17.54 bought No.
The largest Yes position is SnapElectionAvoider with 161 shares; the largest No position is LornaPredicts with 70.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 46.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 74.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 161.11 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 70 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 68.96 |
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/first-round-outright-winner-in-the-ga-11-house-election
| bechamel | No | 20 |
| litigation | No | 2 |
| Numitus1994 | No | 0.16 |
| erdos-baconator | Yes | 0.03 |
| Royal Sphinx E2BE | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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