Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95%. Yes opened at 51% on 2 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2025 to 5 Aug 2025, the highest close was 95% on 5 Aug 2025 and the lowest 50% on 3 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 95% on 5 Aug 2025. $1.34K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 6, 8:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 2 Aug 2025 – 5 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2025 | 51.0% |
| 5 Aug 2025 | 95.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Guy11 | No | 188.68 |
| FlopTraders | No | 140 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 110 |
| cryptobrg1 | No | 32.46 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the percentage change for Ethereum is higher than the percentage change for Bitcoin on the date specified in the title. Otherwise it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT charts: https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3AETHUSDT The percentage change displayed at the top of the chart for each asset’s “1D” candle on the date specified in the title will be used once both candles are finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to TradingView's BTC/USDT, ETH/USDT pairs, not according to other sources or spot markets
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-outperforms-bitcoin-on-august-4-824
| Etalon | No | 20 |
| frankthetank4 | No | 10 |
| Sofalana2 | No | 7.69 |
| Web3Mikey | No | 4.08 |
| canelmas | Yes | 3.92 |
| Itsfurreal | Yes | 0.01 |
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