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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 185.64 | $0.780 | $144.8 | Dec 10, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 203.73 |
| $0.740 |
| $150.76 |
| Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Maduro" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?No | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Trump say "October 7th" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?No | buy | 71.33 | $0.280 | $20 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Yes | buy | 752.58 | $0.040 | $30 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | sell | 240.72 | $0.632 | $152.21 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 185.64 | $0.750 | $139.23 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 551.39 | $0.253 | $139.23 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 551.39 | $0.280 | $154.39 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | sell | 179.52 | $0.860 | $154.39 | Sep 11, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 203.73 | $0.624 | $127.23 | Sep 11, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | sell | 48.4 | $0.790 | $38.24 | Sep 3, 2025 |
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?Yes | buy | 428.4 | $0.140 | $60 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | sell | 179.51 | $0.830 | $148.99 | Sep 2, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 48.4 | $0.800 | $38.72 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?No | sell | 40 | $0.968 | $38.72 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 359.04 | $0.570 | $204.65 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 188.1 | $0.953 | $179.26 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.360 | $40 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?Yes | buy | 95.74 | $0.627 | $60 | Aug 20, 2025 |
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.380 | $100 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?No | buy | 60.61 | $0.660 | $40 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 235.45 | $0.263 | $62 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.860 | $79.12 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 272.56 | $0.911 | $248.27 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 51.14 | $0.420 | $21.48 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 689.38 | $0.029 | $20 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?No | buy | 55.16 | $0.725 | $40 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?No | sell | 177.13 | $0.460 | $81.48 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?No | buy | 177.14 | $0.658 | $116.53 | Aug 11, 2025 |
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?No | sell | 176.32 | $0.661 | $116.53 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?No | buy | 65.34 | $0.603 | $39.42 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.080 | $36 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.250 | $23 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?No | buy | 109.67 | $0.240 | $26.32 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?No | sell | 45.71 | $0.576 | $26.31 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?No | buy | 118.42 | $0.450 | $53.29 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 62.7 | $0.850 | $53.3 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?No | buy | 207.4 | $0.200 | $41.48 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?No | buy | 40 | $0.710 | $28.4 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?No | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?No | sell | 15.52 | $0.840 | $13.04 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?No | sell | 116.66 | $0.290 | $33.83 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 51.82 | $0.830 | $43.01 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin on August 4?No | buy | 32.46 | $0.520 | $16.88 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin on August 3?No | buy | 60 | $0.520 | $31.2 | Aug 2, 2025 |
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?No | buy | 168.08 | $0.670 | $112.61 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?No | buy | 29.33 | $0.530 | $15.54 | Jul 31, 2025 |