Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 34% on 30 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 30 May 2024 to 4 Jul 2024, the highest close was 79.5% on 19 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 4 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 51 points down, to 10% on 29 Jun 2024. $529.78K traded over the market's life.
146 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 5:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 30 May 2024 – 4 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 May 2024 | 34.0% |
| 4 Jul 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qwerqwer | Yes | 11.82K |
| ztztfztfztf | Yes | 5.08K |
| venture | Yes | 3.94K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Ethereum ETF begins trading on the NASDAQ, NYSE, or CBOE by the time of market close on July 3, 2024 (Trading is closed on July 4, a holiday). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant exchanges, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-etf-begins-trading-by-july-4
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 2.95K |
| Hassy | Yes | 1.63K |
| Moode | No | 550.26 |
| Harry1010 | Yes | 533.99 |
| 0xFU | Yes | 342.65 |
| bully | Yes | 255.49 |
| GTNFTTT | Yes | 250 |
