Analytics
Yes is at 13%, down 33 points from 46% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 46% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 13% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ethereum above ___ on October 28?”.
$16.5K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $62.71K since listing. The order book holds $36.9K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 179 trades, $9.85K bought Yes and $9.41K bought No; the largest was a $7.61K buy of No at 80.0¢.
The largest Yes position is fred4332 with 52.6K shares; the largest No position is kingofcoinflips with 37K. Ten wallets hold 96.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 46.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 13.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fred4332 | Yes | 52.61K |
| kingofcoinflips | No | 36.97K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 5.46K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-28-2026
| Rapid Maven 7394 |
| No |
| 3.51K |
| gt197 | No | 1.95K |
| 196874353278 | No | 1.72K |
| coinfilippe | No | 1.21K |
| Justin698 | No | 880 |
| gobblewobble | No | 877.97 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 820.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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