Analytics
Yes is at 98%, up 6 points from 92% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026, the highest close was 98% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 92% on 27 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ethereum above ___ on November 2?”.
$7.59K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.61K since listing. The order book holds $34.72K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 21 trades, $5.14K bought Yes and $57.13 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 6.9K shares; the largest No position is Rapid Maven 7394 with 3.7K.
Trading closes on 2 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 92.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 98.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 6.9K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 3.7K |
| 196874353278 | No | 2.09K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-november-2-2026
| gt197 | No | 574.7 |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 550 |
| sixty-two | Yes | 21.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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