Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 51.5%. Yes opened at 5% on 2 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2025 to 11 Nov 2025, the highest close was 51.5% on 11 Nov 2025 and the lowest 5% on 2 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 48.5% on 10 Nov 2025. $744.62K traded over the market's life.
104 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 13, 12:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 2 Nov 2025 – 11 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | 5.0% |
| 11 Nov 2025 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 328.95K |
| OuchMyBalls | No | 6.69K |
| alideux | No | 5.5K |
| lissartter | No | 1.08K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 4 12:00 PM ET to November 11, 2025 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-4-november-11
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 921 |
| OBigBallsO | No | 555.28 |
| liubangdahanEmp | No | 548.83 |
| Aged-Waterskiing | No | 466.67 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 315.97 |
| cresly | No | 299.99 |
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