
Resolved No on 27 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 8 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2025 to 27 Nov 2025, the highest close was 27.5% on 23 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 27 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 5% on 24 Nov 2025. $39.8K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 28, 4:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 8 Nov 2025 – 27 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | 6.5% |
| 27 Nov 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 42.1K |
| MasonsConqueredRome | Yes | 7.36K |
| Lunar Lynx FE34 | Yes | 4.9K |
| shine | Yes | 1.19K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of November 2025. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-2025
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.12K |
| LukeGamma | Yes | 999.97 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 694.45 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| LoraK | Yes | 499.96 |
| K6lion | Yes | 457.82 |
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