
Resolved No on 17 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.4% on 8 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2026 to 17 Jul 2026, the highest close was 0.7% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Jul 2026. $59.4K traded over the market's life.
68 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 18, 3:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 8 Jul 2026 – 17 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 137.77K |
| Golden Kestrel 1950 | Yes | 15.19K |
| alohaa | Yes | 7.32K |
| wakuwaku3 | Yes | 3.76K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 10 12:00 PM ET to July 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-10-july-17
| BigMackyG | Yes | 3.58K |
| RickRockRick | Yes | 3.5K |
| Green.Gold | Yes | 3K |
| ElonSimp | Yes | 2.3K |
| aEpTcH7MFw | Yes | 2K |
| Elastin | Yes | 1.88K |
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