Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 81.5%. Yes opened at 53% on 6 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2025 to 8 Aug 2025, the highest close was 81.5% on 8 Aug 2025 and the lowest 53% on 6 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 76% on 7 Aug 2025. $8.63K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 12:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 6 Aug 2025 – 8 Aug 2025, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2025 | 53.0% |
| 8 Aug 2025 | 81.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wlfiog | No | 483.41 |
| Probinhood | No | 184 |
| divideetempire | No | 89.99 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 52 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts 25 or more times on X on August 8, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-number-of-tweets-25-times-8-8
| nexuspredict | No | 41.67 |
| c3rberus | No | 30 |
| Beeter | No | 29.41 |
| resfeberxbt | No | 25 |
| Simsta24 | No | 24.24 |
| jalako | No | 23 |
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