Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 7 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 153 daily closes on record from 7 May 2026 to 7 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 10 May 2026 and the lowest 2.9% on 7 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 12% on 6 Jun 2026. $12.28K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 8, 6:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 153 points, 7 May 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 May 2026 | 54.5% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 2.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 72.4 |
| PPMT | Yes | 59.33 |
| thisisfor2 | No | 56.28 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eli Lilly signs a commercial licensing agreement, technology transfer agreement, or equivalent binding agreement with Peptron that grants Eli Lilly commercial rights to Peptron’s SmartDepot technology by the specified date, 11:59 PM Korea Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only commercial licensing agreements, technology transfer agreements, or equivalent binding agreements that grant Eli Lilly direct commercial rights to develop, manufacture, sell, or otherwise commercialize Peptron’s SmartDepot technology will qualify. Co-development agreements will not qualify. Extensions of the existing Technology Evaluation Agreement or other agreements which are non-binding or do not grant Eli Lilly direct commercial rights to SmartDepot will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eli Lilly and Peptron; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eli-lilly-licenses-peptrons-smartdepot-by-october-7
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 46.91 |
| benq | Yes | 20 |
| d5f4gh45fd | No | 20 |
| Ashamed-Sentiment | No | 20 |
| GREYER | Yes | 19.99 |
| lllbigt | Yes | 16.78 |
| Flowershine | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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