Analytics
Yes is at 80%, up 30 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 80% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 27 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 69% on 28 Oct 2026.
200+ is the favourite of the 6 outcomes in “Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 27 - November 3, 2026?”, ahead of 180-199 at 11.5%.
$2.39K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $13.57K since listing. The order book holds $2.46K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 237 trades, $3.25K bought Yes and $2.55K bought No.
The largest Yes position is OstapP with 2.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 84.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 80.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| OstapP | Yes | 2.51K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.39K |
| hochnaesigezicke | No | 1.39K |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 27, 12:00 PM ET and November 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-october-27-november-3-2026
| Stupendous-Warning |
| Yes |
| 348 |
| rocky42002 | No | 222.67 |
| Stingy-Partridge | Yes | 216.35 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 181 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 160.68 |
| rovim-plymkt | No | 155 |
| molodoyy | Yes | 120 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
