Analytics
Yes is at 0.2%, down 3.4 points from 3.6% when the market opened on 25 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 3.9% on 29 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.9% on 28 Oct 2026. The current quote, 0.2%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 2.6% on 30 Oct 2026.
100-119 ranks sixth of the 7 outcomes in “Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 27 - November 3, 2026?”. 200+ leads at 79.5%; 180-199 is at 11%.
$356.21 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.98K since listing. The order book holds $2.74K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 60 trades, $13.24 bought Yes and $2.36K bought No; the largest was a $1.18K buy of No at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Uneven-Cornet with 500 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 89% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 25 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 3.6% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.39K |
| venezuelain | No | 1.22K |
| Uneven-Cornet | Yes | 500 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 27, 12:00 PM ET and November 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-october-27-november-3-2026
| TheSinCZ |
| Yes |
| 399 |
| YourFoundMojo | Yes | 360.84 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 299.41 |
| rovim-plymkt | Yes | 265.21 |
| Quiet Signal CAF5 | Yes | 165.13 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| dkjj | Yes | 108.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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