Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 92%. Yes opened at 79% on 3 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 61 daily closes on record from 3 May 2025 to 2 Jul 2025, the highest close was 92.5% on 8 May 2025 and the lowest 71.5% on 30 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 71.5% on 30 Jun 2025. $57.43K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 61 points, 3 May 2025 – 2 Jul 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 May 2025 | 79.0% |
| 2 Jul 2025 | 92.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Exploiter | No | 4.25K |
| These-Reasoning | No | 1.61K |
| jediknight | No | 1.41K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 416 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is convicted of any felony charge in the ongoing UNITED STATES OF AMERICA v. SEAN COMBS (Case No. 1:24-cr-00542) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (Dec 31) to consider further retrials. If a felony conviction has not been rendered by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/diddy-convicted-of-a-felony
| WTI | No | 284.34 |
| Narcoins | No | 227.32 |
| Bodecker | No | 166.67 |
| qwertzu | No | 100 |
| Ule | No | 23.08 |
| TheSkinShedder | No | 22.22 |
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