Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?

Name: Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

politicsResolved

No, settled Dec 18, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$12.7M

Resolved

Settled

Dec 18, 2024 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.07M	0.0%	$0
CaseScaglione	Yes	25.53K	5.7%	$1.45K
captainrabbit	Yes	24.2K	11.1%	$2.68K
DEMONCRAT	Yes	15K	12.0%	$1.8K
bteeter	Yes	10K	0.1%	$10
0x555151515	Yes	9.17K	12.0%	$1.1K
rumtumtugger	Yes	8.8K	11.9%	$1.05K
4rt56	Yes	8.42K	3.5%	$297.98
rewt	Yes	6.94K	10.0%	$694.2
sfdour	Yes	6.58K	11.0%	$723.36
grased	Yes	6.38K	12.0%	$765.36
trekv	Yes	6.18K	13.0%	$803.79
avalonman	Yes	6.15K	13.0%	$799.99
undertaker	Yes	5.77K	15.0%	$866.4
thser	Yes	5.53K	13.8%	$760.44
jkgb	Yes	5.31K	12.0%	$636.72
hande	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5
BreadLoser	Yes	4.98K	14.1%	$704.99
sdchoo	Yes	4.33K	14.0%	$606.21
4950	Yes	4.17K	12.0%	$500
rat7	Yes	4.05K	11.0%	$445.6
wolfgang551	Yes	3.73K	6.4%	$239.99
jenkem	Yes	3.64K	0.1%	$3.64
guyfrost	Yes	3.49K	11.2%	$391.83
ghsou	Yes	3.33K	14.0%	$465.79
Crimson Horizon 4FF3	Yes	3.26K	14.0%	$456.43
Siziriv	Yes	3K	3.1%	$93.75	Dec 17, 12:30 PM UTC
tack87	Yes	2.99K	13.0%	$388.96
Observer	Yes	2.5K	14.0%	$350
stanimir	Yes	2.13K	0.1%	$2.13
Ferengi-031	Yes	1.99K	15.2%	$301.75
fifouflow	Yes	1.67K	12.0%	$200
harukikjnwe	Yes	1.66K	0.1%	$1.66
brix	Yes	1.65K	0.1%	$1.65
kingfisher	Yes	1.59K	5.3%	$83.76
Notadegen333	Yes	1.54K	13.0%	$200
hardycharlie	Yes	1.5K	11.0%	$165
amelie	Yes	1.35K	0.1%	$1.35
thori	Yes	1.31K	0.1%	$1.31
parrleuni	Yes	1.21K	0.1%	$1.21
parcimony7644	Yes	1.11K	13.0%	$144.43
cnsl78	Yes	1.05K	12.0%	$126.12
noitinasd	Yes	1.02K	0.1%	$1.02
nester	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
Secret14thKey	Yes	1K	13.0%	$130
MarsLife	Yes	988	12.0%	$118.56
androma	Yes	970	0.1%	$0.97
adialachar	Yes	920.57	21.7%	$200
Frogman263	Yes	909.09	11.0%	$100
JJJJJJkkk	Yes	887.29	15.0%	$133.15
ArcherV	Yes	842.08	11.9%	$100
Alec187	Yes	842	11.9%	$100
TEKRAMYLOP	Yes	833.33	12.0%	$100
gluk	Yes	800	0.1%	$0.8
pat777	Yes	769.24	13.0%	$100
ifly21	Yes	769.23	13.0%	$100
Amore88	Yes	769.23	13.0%	$100
Cobalt Horizon A2B1	Yes	749.97	12.5%	$94.1
gnomechomsky6544	Yes	746.54	13.4%	$100
Colorless-Donut	Yes	731.08	12.0%	$87.73
Alngrd	Yes	714.29	14.0%	$100
chelovek	Yes	670	0.1%	$0.67
ProudVirgin	Yes	630	4.0%	$25.01
Omeeze	Yes	625	12.0%	$75
ethotaku	Yes	576.92	13.0%	$75
Marckus	Yes	511.07	19.6%	$100
KClayton2021	Yes	500	11.4%	$57
Reader_of_Vunjan	Yes	500	12.0%	$60
idfkanything	Yes	500	10.2%	$51
Sliceofmai	Yes	500	3.9%	$19.5
halav	Yes	500	11.0%	$55
eetunotrus	Yes	461.54	13.0%	$60
Truduluc	Yes	460	11.0%	$50.6
Outsided	Yes	457.08	13.0%	$59.42
32wolf	Yes	430	0.1%	$0.43
RonaldPaulson	Yes	416.67	12.0%	$50
Dmitry68	Yes	396.7	14.1%	$56
pingouin	Yes	384.62	13.0%	$50
0x4...b482	Yes	384.62	13.0%	$50
ElectionRizzard	Yes	384.62	13.0%	$50
Meyden	Yes	341.02	13.0%	$44.33
grigorysviat	Yes	330	0.1%	$0.33
dapocalypse	Yes	322.22	10.2%	$33
DHA5643	Yes	310.49	11.8%	$36.65
Swar101	Yes	300	10.0%	$30
sanbeyati	Yes	257.05	12.8%	$33
AKCloudy25	Yes	250	14.0%	$35
;o;	Yes	250	4.0%	$10
TheUnfolding	Yes	250	12.0%	$30
Quiet Pulse 1624	Yes	245	0.1%	$0.25
cernakulia	Yes	240	0.1%	$0.24
JayEole	Yes	230.77	13.0%	$30
Jaqk	Yes	230.77	13.0%	$30
Foxyboi	Yes	208.33	12.0%	$25
Octanedavid15	Yes	200.08	12.0%	$24.01
XMikhailX	Yes	200	11.0%	$22
RiverboatElliot	Yes	178.93	14.0%	$25
Ferre	Yes	178.57	14.0%	$25
Spackula7	Yes	153.85	13.0%	$20
Manko1121	Yes	153.85	13.0%	$20
Zdenci-13136	Yes	153.85	13.0%	$20
bringitalone	Yes	130	11.2%	$14.5
jimjohn123	Yes	123.04	20.3%	$25
nnngme	Yes	110	0.1%	$0.11
Maison8	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
GalveyBoy	Yes	100	11.0%	$11
Rafael0	Yes	90.91	11.0%	$10
DavidX	Yes	87.12	11.5%	$10
Wilz	Yes	83.33	12.0%	$10
Eskimo1400	Yes	83.33	12.0%	$10
BigOleShwagBag	Yes	83.33	12.0%	$10
CryLater	Yes	83.33	12.0%	$10
puffdaddy	Yes	82.55	11.0%	$9.08
spongevirtue33	Yes	80.42	12.0%	$9.65
Solar Horizon 8548	Yes	76.92	13.0%	$10
KittyA	Yes	76.92	13.0%	$10
Europ00r	Yes	76.92	13.0%	$10
urnbicycling	Yes	71.92	12.4%	$8.91
SayYesToProject2025	Yes	71.43	14.0%	$10
Outstanding-Corsage	Yes	71.43	14.0%	$10
BaseCampCs	Yes	71.43	14.0%	$10
PatSmith8001	Yes	63.46	12.6%	$8
lilacpica97	Yes	61.54	13.0%	$8
whitefishsalad1	Yes	58.33	12.0%	$7
mikenike360	Yes	57.69	13.0%	$7.5
PhenomZ	Yes	50	10.0%	$5
Fatboy	Yes	50	10.0%	$5
St-Qc	Yes	50	11.0%	$5.5
Alwaysontilt	Yes	50	12.0%	$6
squarewave-180	Yes	50	12.0%	$6
moriarty88	Yes	50	9.0%	$4.5
Veteer	Yes	50	0.1%	$0.05
Eugen	Yes	46.43	14.0%	$6.5
Issss	Yes	45.45	11.0%	$5
nooms	Yes	45.45	11.0%	$5
Dcampbell	Yes	41.67	12.0%	$5
pol444	Yes	40	0.1%	$0.04
pol222	Yes	40	0.1%	$0.04
SMURK	Yes	40	12.0%	$4.8
Romain921	Yes	38.46	13.0%	$5
ptpro	Yes	38.46	13.0%	$5
anataliocs.erh	Yes	38.46	13.0%	$5
getsome	Yes	35.71	14.0%	$5
gguui	Yes	30	0.1%	$0.03
huangkdoi	Yes	30	0.1%	$0.03
kkkpp	Yes	30	0.1%	$0.03
sssee	Yes	30	0.1%	$0.03
sseer	Yes	30	0.1%	$0.03
ggrtty	Yes	30	0.1%	$0.03
hhhrr	Yes	30	0.1%	$0.03
ggguu	Yes	30	0.1%	$0.03
Rabliep	Yes	29.17	12.0%	$3.5
letsgomofo	Yes	28	18.0%	$5.04
Turtleku	Yes	25	12.0%	$3
cuno	Yes	23.79	3.1%	$0.74
BEATIT	Yes	22.22	9.0%	$2
jjjuiii	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
ynumt	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
yumujy	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
dfgsgf	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
pol5	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
hrffs	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
bbvvn	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
fgbnfgn	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
ccvffr	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
Kristjan	Yes	20	12.0%	$2.4
zzssd	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
fgbfgn	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
yeskdofff	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
00000000011111111	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
pol777	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
pol888	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
thngn	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
zzssw	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
ccddf	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
pol111	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
nghnt	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
fghdfdf	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
cvsaved	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
fgbnghm	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
33333300000000	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
00004444	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
xdfvsg	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
cvbcghv	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
adamuy	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
cgbfgf	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
beletey	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
sdfvsdgf	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
fgnfyg	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02
olligater	Yes	17.65	17.0%	$3
dx82i	Yes	16.67	12.0%	$2
Andy9373836	Yes	15.38	13.0%	$2
ER02CB	Yes	14.29	14.0%	$2
ElectricSheep	Yes	14.29	14.0%	$2
sdgsgg	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
xfgdrr	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
dgsdgg	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
vuvpwoith	Yes	10	12.0%	$1.2
dfghdfd	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
aswwws	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
zxcvsd	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
GHIGI	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
zxcasdf	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
hhjfgf	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
zxcvdh	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
dfgbxc	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
ddgggt	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
ffasvx	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
neverhere	Yes	10	12.0%	$1.2
cvbcgh	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
ggddee	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
xcvgsdf	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
ggddei	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
dgasda	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
Turbulent-Palate	Yes	10	11.0%	$1.1
hhttyt	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
gchjnf	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
aaaade	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
0500KJIOHJ	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
sfffgrr	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.01
DoctorFantastic	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$1
thatboyjony	Yes	8.5	2.0%	$0.17
CheckW	Yes	8.33	12.0%	$1
PropheticNick	Yes	8	14.0%	$1.12
Wobbly-Nonsense	Yes	7.69	13.0%	$1
coffana	Yes	7.69	13.0%	$1
DaisyChain	Yes	7.69	13.0%	$1
MisterT333	Yes	7.69	13.0%	$1
PolyDump	Yes	5	0.2%	$0.01
Twizzler	Yes	5	0.2%	$0.01
livermorego	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
Young-Track	Yes	4.33	12.0%	$0.52
DLR-402	Yes	3.71	13.5%	$0.5
Celebrated-Haze	Yes	3.33	1.8%	$0.06
CrouchingTigerHiddenGamer	Yes	3.33	12.0%	$0.4
Pantagruel	Yes	3	10.0%	$0.3
phroge	Yes	1.78	3.1%	$0.06
2025A	Yes	1.67	12.0%	$0.2
2ymark	Yes	1.67	12.0%	$0.2
nmgghyyyltuy56	No	1.12	89.0%	$1
0xbonvivant	Yes	1	13.0%	$0.13
Emerald Beacon F675	Yes	1	5.7%	$0.06
feyen	Yes	1	14.0%	$0.14
M0ike	Yes	0.77	13.0%	$0.1
Asahiko	Yes	0.62	13.0%	$0.08
LoseSavings	No	0.58	91.0%	$0.53
FGYVBSDF	Yes	0.14	7.0%	$0.01
sosga	No	0.14	92.0%	$0.13

248 of 248 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$2.07M
nmgghyyyltuy56	$1.12
LoseSavings	$0.58

Analytics