Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.280 | $0.84 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.88 |
| $0.340 |
| $2 |
| Apr 15, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 14.8 | $0.731 | $10.82 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | sell | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 1.0-2.0%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Tennessee US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.380 | $2.66 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Arizona be the closest state?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 3.0-4.0%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will the election be called on Nov 5?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.140 | $8.4 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WIYes | buy | 23.81 | $0.084 | $2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.98 | $0.430 | $3 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Silver call 49 states correctly?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Silver call all 50 states correctly?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WIYes | buy | 59.52 | $0.084 | $5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Kamala wins 287-251 - PA, NV, MI, WI, AZYes | buy | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 0-1.0%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Indiana US Senate Election?No | buy | 100 | $0.039 | $3.9 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.280 | $14 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.360 | $12.6 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.650 | $32.5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.360 | $9 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?No | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 13.53 | $0.739 | $10 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.1 | $0.410 | $4.55 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7.81 | $0.580 | $4.53 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Tennessee US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.010 | $0.65 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.520 | $26 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.450 | $6.75 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.696 | $13.92 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will the election be called on Nov 5?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will the election be called on Nov 5?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Nov 1, 2024 |