Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.5%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 1 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 1 Apr 2026 to 2 Apr 2026, the highest close was 26.5% on 1 Apr 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 2 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 5.5% on 2 Apr 2026. $42.46K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 17, 11:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 1 Apr 2026 – 2 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Apr 2026 | 26.5% |
| 2 Apr 2026 | 5.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sinch | Yes | 1.76K |
| Dense-Cleft | Yes | 1.31K |
| 0x4e43 | Yes | 479.29 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public. The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/deepseek-v4-released-by-march-31
| naggingbets | Yes | 199.99 |
| floohub | Yes | 199.99 |
| johnnykarlberg | Yes | 155.33 |
| Friendly-Wingman | Yes | 102.6 |
| S888 | Yes | 100 |
| starball | Yes | 100 |
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