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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?Yes | buy | 143.21 | $0.580 | $83.06 | Apr 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 102.6 |
| $0.049 |
| $5 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.468 | $14.04 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.100 | $20 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 177.29 | $0.660 | $117.04 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 177.29 | $0.585 | $103.74 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 53.76 | $0.053 | $2.85 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 213.96 | $0.444 | $94.96 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.76 | $0.093 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?No | sell | 11.75 | $0.930 | $10.93 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 11.75 | $0.930 | $10.93 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.37 | $0.110 | $10.93 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 50.09 | $0.230 | $11.52 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.38 | $0.201 | $20 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 33.05 | $0.401 | $13.24 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 6.35 | $0.787 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 26.7 | $0.749 | $20 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 18.07 | $0.830 | $15 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.810 | $30 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 15.21 | $0.780 | $11.86 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 126.11 | $0.040 | $5 | Oct 27, 2025 |