Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 28 Mar 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 16.5% on 3 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 6.5% on 4 Mar 2026. $92.23K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 8:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 16.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| steamrolling | Yes | 2K |
| Meib | Yes | 1.86K |
| Ramsss | Yes | 1.56K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify. A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form. The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/congress-passes-iran-war-powers-resolution-by-march-31
| Yes |
| 1.37K |
| walidh00 | Yes | 1.29K |
| Silver Maven 8A06 | Yes | 1K |
| evagoras | Yes | 714.29 |
| brayknows | Yes | 600 |
| niggabutt | Yes | 500 |
| Emerald Harbor 995A | Yes | 350 |
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