
Yes is at 12%, down 2 points from 14% when the market opened on 22 May 2026.
The high was 30.5% on 19 Jun 2026 and the low 6.5% on 9 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 11%; a month ago, 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 18% on 20 Jun 2026.
$15.63K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $540.13, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 484 trades, $839.99 bought Yes and $2.24K bought No.
The largest Yes position is rocky42005 with 268 shares; the largest No position is i400 with 739. Ten wallets hold 90.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Aug 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 9:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 139 points · 22 May 2026 – 7 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 14.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 12.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| i400 | No | 738.63 |
| rocky42005 | Yes | 268.38 |
| AJSV | Yes | 138.39 |
Dalton Eatherly (Chud the Builder) has been charged with Attempted Murder by The State of Tennessee. You can read more about that here: https://www.local3news.com/regional-national/livestreamer-known-for-racist-content-faces-attempted-murder-charge-bond-set-at-1-25-million/article_11dcac35-652f-5716-8a86-1f10157764e0.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any attempted murder charge in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". If all relevant charges are dropped, or otherwise changed such that no further attempted murder charges remain, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If an attempted murder conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/chud-the-builder-convicted-of-attempted-murder
| Jade Beacon E3EA |
| Yes |
| 119 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 103 |
| Dapsy | No | 100 |
| w3rg24 | Yes | 78.69 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 42.13 |
| AnonWarriorX | Yes | 30.77 |
| y100 | No | 30 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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