Analytics
Resolved Michigan State on 17 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Michigan State at 39.5%. The Northwestern side opened at 50% on 7 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 62% on 14 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 7 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 60% on 13 Oct 2026. $1.5K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 7:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Northwestern price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Northwestern price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 60.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cosmic Signal 9D33 | Northwestern | 327.86 |
| Adorable-Acquaintance | Northwestern | 240 |
| justaluckydude | Northwestern | 178.9 |
| TimeTraveler | Northwestern |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northwestern" if Northwestern win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Michigan State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-nw-mst-2026-10-17
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 100 |
| TinaGoat | Northwestern | 18.42 |
| ghorrock | Northwestern | 5.15 |
