Analytics
Yes is at 10%, up 2.9 points from 7% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 18 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 21.6% on 13 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.8% on 3 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 16.1%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 18.6% on 5 Oct 2026.
$476.47 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $297.91, with a 1.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is GuyFromTinder with 40 shares; the largest No position is southbets with 67.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 10:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 13.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| southbets | No | 66.5 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 40 |
| SloppyDonny | No | 23.5 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Candace Owens is legally divorced from her husband, George Farmer, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A final divorce decree or equivalent court order issued by a competent jurisdiction by the specified date will be required for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of any prior announcements of intention to divorce or separations. The primary resolution source will be public court records from the relevant jurisdiction. A consensus of credible media reporting confirming the existence of such a decree may also be used. Personal statements, social media posts, or announcements by Candace Owens, George Farmer, or their representatives will not be sufficient on their own for resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/candace-owens-divorced-by-december-31-2027
| Numitus1994 |
| Yes |
| 21 |
| hojs | Yes | 20 |
| IUSEBOT | No | 20 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 19 |
| Costly-Swell | No | 13.16 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 13.15 |
| sadfsadf | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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