Analytics
Yes is at 37.5%, down 13 points from 50% when the market opened on 2 Jul 2026.
The high was 72% on 4 Sep 2026 and the low 37.5% on 13 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 44.5%; a month ago, 55%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 67.5% on 17 Jul 2026.
$1.7K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.14K, with a 27.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 65 trades, $355.39 bought Yes and $313.52 bought No.
The largest Yes position is i2dt with 140 shares; the largest No position is AJSV with 133.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 22 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 13, 4:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 104 points · 2 Jul 2026 – 13 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | 37.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| i2dt | Yes | 139.81 |
| AJSV | No | 132.58 |
| chocolatepudding | No | 127.77 |
Proposition 45 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would amend the state’s landmark California Environmental Quality Act to create deadlines for environmental reviews of most housing, transportation, water, health and clean energy projects to speed up permitting and limit the court’s ability to stop or delay developments. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/california-expedited-environmental-review-proposition
| sunnynotbunny |
| No |
| 126.53 |
| Winged-Holder | Yes | 121.94 |
| Hot-Skull | No | 114.55 |
| oneoftheppl | Yes | 81 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 70.54 |
| DuneMentat | Yes | 60 |
| UTILIZADOR2 | Yes | 50 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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