Analytics
Yes is at 2.9%, down 47 points from 50% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
The high was 50% on 12 Aug 2026 and the low 1.6% on 30 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 1.6%; a month ago, 21.5%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 19% on 14 Aug 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Pro Football: Caleb Williams 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards”.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $975.57 since listing. The order book holds $141.98, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is POB1 with 174 shares; the largest No position is Robbb with 209.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 112 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 11:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 58 points · 12 Aug 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 2.9% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards Caleb Williams records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 4,124.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Caleb Williams does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards Caleb Williams recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/caleb-williams-passing-yards-2026-27
| cigarettes |
| No |
| 32.31 |
| yuyuyuyuyyuuyuyu | Yes | 27.04 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| Maximus374 | No | 20 |
| ScottsRoad | No | 5.03 |
| tilazczz | Yes | 4.27 |
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