Analytics
Yes is at 22%, down 28 points from 50% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
The high was 71.5% on 15 Sep 2026 and the low 20.5% on 3 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 26.5%; a month ago, 66.5%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 40% on 21 Sep 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Pro Football: Caleb Williams 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards”.
$226.01 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $28.29, with a 30.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is 0x0820-3 with 41 shares; the largest No position is Robbb with 40.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 114 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 5, 6:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 56 points · 12 Aug 2026 – 5 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | 22.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x0820-3 | Yes | 41.02 |
| Robbb | No | 40 |
| KindaBoiled | No | 19.99 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards Caleb Williams records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 3,374.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Caleb Williams does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards Caleb Williams recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/caleb-williams-passing-yards-2026-27
| hithitfar |
| Yes |
| 18.98 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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