Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Jul 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$27.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 17, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 17 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 80.5% on 23 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 23 Jun 2026 to 17 Jul 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 13 Jul 2026 and the lowest 80.5% on 23 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 97.5% on 25 Jun 2026. $27.29K traded over the market's life.

22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 1:34 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 23 Jun 2026 – 17 Jul 2026, chart shows 75%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
23 Jun 2026	80.5%
17 Jul 2026	99.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Azure Scout 73EE	No	522.22
Dimer	No	300.02
Fickle-Breastplate	No	245.16

10 of 22 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham is unopposed in assuming the title of Leader of the Labour Party of the UK in the next Labour Party leadership election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To satisfy a “Yes” resolution, Andy Burnham must become Leader of the Labour Party by being the only candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, regardless of whether an election is held. If Andy Burnham does not appear as a candidate at the next UK Labour leadership election, if Andy Burnham is challenged by another candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, or if Andy Burnham is not elected as the next leader of the Labour Party, this market will resolve to “No”. The appointment of any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the UK Labour Party does not elect a new leader by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party (https://labour.org.uk/); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.