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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 650.77 | $0.881 | $614.65 | +$41.35 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.250 | $7.5 | 2d ago |
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| No |
| 186.83 |
| $0.690 |
| $138.25 |
| +$9.34 |
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.840 | $44.75 | +$2.75 |
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? | Yes | 50 | $0.610 | $32.75 | +$2.25 |
Will Congress override any veto in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.753 | $28.49 | +$5.89 |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20.82 | +$0.82 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 30 | $0.350 | $10.7 | +$0.2 |
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10.56 | +$0.56 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $10.1 | +$0.1 |
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10.07 | +$0.07 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 23.97 | $0.370 | $8.51 | -$0.36 |
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | Yes | 11.63 | $0.430 | $4.42 | -$0.58 |
Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $2.75 | -$2.25 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.370 | $0.74 | -$0.26 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.140 |
| $7 |
| 2d ago |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 5.26 | $0.110 | $0.58 | 13d ago |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 15d ago |
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | 15d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.310 | $9.3 | 18d ago |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.880 | $19.36 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?No | sell | 18.91 | $0.991 | $18.74 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 51.28 | $0.039 | $2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.03 | $0.038 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | sell | 12.34 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes | sell | 42.35 | $0.076 | $3.21 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No | buy | 22.82 | $0.876 | $20 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 34.09 | $0.993 | $33.85 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceCanada | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | sell | 45.19 | $0.910 | $41.12 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceAustralia | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Spread: France (-1.5)France | sell | 7.54 | $0.999 | $7.53 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Spread: France (-1.5)France | buy | 7.55 | $0.530 | $4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 23.95 | $0.380 | $9.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 279.04 | $0.014 | $3.91 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.900 | $25 | Jun 26, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 43.96 | $0.910 | $40 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.162 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.933 | $37.32 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes | sell | 110.11 | $0.003 | $0.33 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Paraguay vs. Australia: Neither team to score first?Yes | sell | 3.65 | $0.999 | $3.65 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Under | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.47 | $0.950 | $4.25 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.077 | $0.55 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Paraguay vs. Australia: Neither team to score first?Yes | buy | 3.65 | $0.548 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Australia be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Australia be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Australia be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |