Analytics
Yes is at 2.1%, down 48 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
Across the 74 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, the highest close was 55.5% on 13 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 12%; a month before, 20.5%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 55.5% on 13 Sep 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Pro Football: Bo Nix 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns”.
$3.79K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $689.76, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 63 trades, $182.68 bought Yes and $1.71K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Dr.PNL with 540 shares; the largest No position is Stonktrader with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 93.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 95 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 7:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 2.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Stonktrader | No | 1.4K |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 539.98 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 497.08 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Bo Nix records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 30.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Bo Nix does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Bo Nix recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bo-nix-passing-touchdowns-2026-27
| AJSV |
| Yes |
| 187.66 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 84 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 68 |
| bobbet | No | 60 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 50.2 |
| ZhouCD | No | 39.52 |
| letsgo33 | Yes | 34.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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