Analytics
Yes is at 42.5%, down 8.5 points from 51% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
Across the 74 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 81% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 15 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 69%; a month before, 55%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 26.5% on 15 Sep 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Pro Football: Bo Nix 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns”.
$49.26 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.09K since listing. The order book holds $481.91, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 38 trades, $67.3 bought Yes and $179.48 bought No.
The largest Yes position is ChuDebbieSharp with 61 shares; the largest No position is tilazczz with 170.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 95 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 2:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 51.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 42.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tilazczz | No | 170 |
| ChuDebbieSharp | Yes | 60.99 |
| AJSV | Yes | 44.63 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Bo Nix records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 21.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Bo Nix does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Bo Nix recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bo-nix-passing-touchdowns-2026-27
| GuyFromTinder |
| Yes |
| 29.83 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| yo2000 | Yes | 20 |
| Empty-Annual | No | 20 |
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 19 |
| Numitus1994 | No | 3.45 |
| Golden Kestrel D399 | No | 1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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