Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?

cryptoResolved

Up, settled Oct 21, 2026 UTC

100.0%

Down

0.0%

Final Up 100¢Final Down 0¢

Lifetime volume

$120.5K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 21, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved Up on 21 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Up at 66.5%. The Up side opened at 50% on 20 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the highest close was 66.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 66.5% on 21 Oct 2026. $120.48K traded over the market's life.

59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 4:11 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–70%

Up price, first and latest
Observed	Up price
20 Oct 2026	50.0%
21 Oct 2026	66.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Mambaxbt	Down	10.58K
Aggressive-Thorn	Down	5K
ns139	Down	4.44K
momingqimiao	Down	2.12K

10 of 59 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-21-2026

Dates

Event starts

Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Oct 21, 2026 UTC