Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
Jan 2, 2026
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Closed
Order book
Captured book available
Observed Yes
100.0%
The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
115
Wallets
115
Top 10 share
60%
Yes / No shares
100.88 / 10.4K
Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
500
Wallets
146
Loaded notional
PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Jan 1, 12:00 AM
Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.
Bucket
Close
Mid
Spread
Volume
Trades
Jan 1, 12:00 AM
92.5%
92.5%
Dec 31, 12:00 AM
77.5%
77.5%
Dec 30, 12:00 AM
55.0%
55.0%
Questions
Questions about this market
What is the “Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitcoin comparatively outperforms the S&P 500 (SPX) in December 2025, with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the month for each asset. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT December 31, 2025 11:59 PM in the ET timezone to the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT December 1, 2025 12:00 AM in the ET timezone. The percentage change in the S&P 500 (SPX) will be…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($95.79K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$28.26K
Yes sell at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Jan 1, 12:00 AM
Points
45
Move
+36 pts
Range
19.5% - 92.5%
Nov 19, 12:00 AM to Jan 1, 12:00 AM
Dec 29, 12:00 AM
49.0%
49.0%
Dec 28, 12:00 AM
60.0%
60.0%
Dec 27, 12:00 AM
34.5%
34.5%
Dec 26, 12:00 AM
24.5%
24.5%
Dec 25, 12:00 AM
25.5%
25.5%
Dec 24, 12:00 AM
28.5%
28.5%
Dec 23, 12:00 AM
38.0%
38.0%
Dec 22, 12:00 AM
23.5%
23.5%
Dec 21, 12:00 AM
19.5%
19.5%
Dec 20, 12:00 AM
44.0%
44.0%
Dec 19, 12:00 AM
44.5%
44.5%
Dec 18, 12:00 AM
45.5%
45.5%
Dec 17, 12:00 AM
40.5%
40.5%
Dec 17, 12:00 AM
40.5%
40.5%
Dec 16, 12:00 AM
47.0%
47.0%
Dec 15, 12:00 AM
45.0%
45.0%
Dec 14, 12:00 AM
47.0%
47.0%
Dec 13, 12:00 AM
46.0%
46.0%
Dec 12, 12:00 AM
55.0%
55.0%
Dec 11, 12:00 AM
64.0%
64.0%
Dec 10, 12:00 AM
57.0%
57.0%
Dec 9, 12:00 AM
61.0%
61.0%
Dec 8, 12:00 AM
56.5%
56.5%
Dec 7, 12:00 AM
57.5%
57.5%
Dec 6, 12:00 AM
56.0%
56.0%
Dec 5, 12:00 AM
71.0%
71.0%
Dec 4, 12:00 AM
64.5%
64.5%
Dec 3, 12:00 AM
54.5%
54.5%
Dec 2, 12:00 AM
46.5%
46.5%
Dec 1, 12:00 AM
45.0%
45.0%
Nov 30, 12:00 AM
53.0%
53.0%
Nov 29, 12:00 AM
52.5%
52.5%
Nov 28, 12:00 AM
52.5%
52.5%
Nov 27, 12:00 AM
55.0%
55.0%
Nov 26, 12:00 AM
56.0%
56.0%
Nov 25, 12:00 AM
43.5%
43.5%
Nov 24, 12:00 AM
39.5%
39.5%
Nov 23, 12:00 AM
48.5%
48.5%
Nov 22, 12:00 AM
47.5%
47.5%
Nov 21, 12:00 AM
47.0%
47.0%
Nov 20, 12:00 AM
52.0%
52.0%
Nov 19, 12:00 AM
56.5%
56.5%
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
Vultax loaded 115 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 60.3% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 2, 4:29 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-outperforms-sp-500-in-december) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
