What is the “Bitcoin ETF Flows on October 17?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Bitcoin ETF Flows on October 17? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Negative on 18 Oct 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Positive” if total Bitcoin ETF flows on the date specified in the title are greater than 0, and to “Negative” if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the “Total” column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

10 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 19, 4:34 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-etf-flows-on-october-17) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Negative: Bitcoin ETF Flows on October 17?

Market referencebitcoin-etf-flows-on-october-17Updated Oct 19, 2025 UTC

Resolved

Negative · settled Oct 18, 2025 UTC

Positive

0.0%

Negative

100.0%

Final Positive 0¢Final Negative 100¢

Lifetime volume

$16.6K

Resolved

Negative

Settled

Oct 18, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Oct 19, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Oct 19, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Negative

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

1.31K / 0

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

119

Wallets

Loaded notional

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
cy4n	Positive	435.62	63.0%	$499.99	Oct 17, 5:22 AM UTC
lissartter	Positive	265.97	59.6%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Bitcoin ETF Flows on October 17?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Bitcoin ETF Flows on October 17? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Negative on 18 Oct 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to “Positive” if total Bitcoin ETF flows on the date specified in the title are greater than 0, and to “Negative” if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the “Total” column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

cy4n

Positive

435.62

63.0%

$499.99

Oct 17, 5:22 AM UTC

lissartter

Positive

265.97

59.6%

Trader	Current holding value
cy4n	$0
lissartter	$0
puravida	$0
CuteSteven	$0
Bustling-Trap	$0
Peremiriya	$0
drkc	$0
ciupeadrian	$0
HamptonHampton	$0
Xwsa	$0