Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 3.33K | $0.947 | $3.2K | +$48.38 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 64.9 | $0.100 | $6.49 | 9h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 71.04K |
| $0.014 |
| $1.31K |
| +$287.3 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 1.1K | $0.931 | $1.05K | +$29.5 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 1.04K | $0.813 | $885.46 | +$38.99 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 505.55 | $0.854 | $457.53 | +$25.81 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | No | 13K | $0.034 | $370.5 | -$72.47 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 400 | $0.907 | $370 | +$7 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 378.91 | $0.723 | $297.44 | +$23.64 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 300 | $0.865 | $268.5 | +$9 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | Yes | 1.7K | $0.123 | $144.44 | -$65.14 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | Yes | 1.98K | $0.090 | $128.89 | -$49.27 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.170 | $105 | -$65 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.805 | $88.5 | +$8 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.035 | $68 | -$2 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? | Yes | 140 | $0.751 | $65.8 | -$39.3 |
 US recession by end of 2027? | No | 80 | $0.772 | $54.8 | -$7 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? | Yes | 366.38 | $0.159 | $42.13 | -$16.06 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 3.2K | $0.098 | $38.4 | -$273.76 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? | No | 34.25 | $0.800 | $26.89 | -$0.51 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? | Yes | 89.4 | $0.279 | $9.39 | -$15.56 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? | Yes | 70 | $0.147 | $3.47 | -$6.83 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10? | No | 4.26K | $0.011 | $2.13 | -$44.71 |
 Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 22.79 | $0.013 | $0.43 | +$0.14 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 0.45 | $0.923 | $0.43 | +$0.02 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.1 | $0.500 | $0.01 | -$0.04 |
| buy |
| 515 |
| $0.011 |
| $5.67 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Yes | buy | 321 | $0.110 | $35.31 | 3d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.8K | $0.170 | $1.16K | 6d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 2?No | buy | 24.05 | $0.050 | $1.2 | 8d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 2?No | buy | 1K | $0.054 | $54.44 | 8d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 2?No | buy | 100 | $0.051 | $5.06 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 606.3 | $0.140 | $84.88 | 8d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?No | buy | 1K | $0.037 | $37 | 12d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29?No | buy | 305.3 | $0.010 | $3.05 | 12d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 30?No | buy | 475.02 | $0.020 | $9.5 | 12d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.020 | $0.5 | 12d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 30?No | buy | 1.94K | $0.013 | $25.15 | 12d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 2?No | buy | 2K | $0.070 | $139.75 | 12d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?No | buy | 37 | $0.040 | $1.48 | 12d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | 15d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | 15d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 95.84 | $0.310 | $29.71 | 15d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.060 | $2.46 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.75 | $0.047 | $2.95 | 16d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.240 | $120 | 21d ago |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 599.56 | $0.958 | $574.38 | 21d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 98.82 | $0.730 | $72.14 | 22d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.720 | $14.47 | 22d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 284.11 | $0.220 | $62.5 | 22d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.47K | $0.270 | $936.53 | 27d ago |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | sell | 561.47 | $0.549 | $308.25 | 28d ago |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.504 | $25.2 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 75.22 | $0.957 | $71.99 | 29d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.350 | $17.48 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.962 | $96.2 | 29d ago |
| US recession by end of 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 521.47 | $0.527 | $274.81 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 25.67 | $0.370 | $9.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 525 | $0.210 | $110.25 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | sell | 846.67 | $0.046 | $38.95 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 66.39 | $0.910 | $60.41 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | buy | 2.8K | $0.039 | $109.16 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No | buy | 17.92 | $0.948 | $16.99 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | buy | 33.77 | $0.820 | $27.69 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.962 | $0.13 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 21.21 | $0.660 | $14 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 45.02 | $0.320 | $14.41 | Aug 4, 2026 |