Analytics
Resolved Under on 21 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Under at 98.4%. The Over side opened at 66.5% on 21 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 66.5% on 21 Aug 2026 and the low 1.7% on 21 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 27.5% on 10 Sep 2026. $1.62K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB · 32 points · 21 Aug 2026 – 21 Sep 2026
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 66.5% |
| 21 Sep 2026 | 1.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sanduspace | Over | 100 |
| Deafening-Possible | Over | 94.1 |
| Authorized-Spreadsheet | Over | 87.66 |
| tcs-312 | Over | 49.18 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to “Over” if SPD wins at least 13% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “Under” if SPD wins less than 13% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/berlin-state-election-spd-over-under-13-percent
| jackli003 | Over | 32.11 |
| PPMT | Over | 30 |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq | Over | 15 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Over | 6 |
| Haradwaith | Over | 0.04 |
| wuasax2 | Under | 0.02 |
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