Analytics
Resolved Linke on 21 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Linke at 99.4%. The CDU side opened at 45.5% on 21 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 21 Sep 2026, the highest close was 58% on 12 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 21 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 0.6% on 21 Sep 2026. $2.73K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the CDU price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 21 Sep 2026
| Observed | CDU price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 45.5% |
| 21 Sep 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Swift Orbit ABF8 | CDU | 500 |
| .Menthe | CDU | 49.99 |
| S888 | CDU | 39.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to “CDU” if CDU wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Linke in the specified election. This market will resolve to “Linke” if Linke wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than CDU in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both CDU and Linke receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party. Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/berlin-state-election-more-votes-to-cdu-or-linke
| CDU |
| 30 |
| GuyFromTinder | CDU | 20 |
| VoxPopuliVoxDei | CDU | 11.36 |
| Mojito9 | CDU | 0.69 |
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