Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 18, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$265.2K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 18, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 18 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 8 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2025 to 18 Dec 2025, the highest close was 4.5% on 8 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Dec 2025. $265.22K traded over the market's life.

61 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 8 Nov 2025 – 18 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Nov 2025	4.5%
18 Dec 2025	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	20.87K
Grounded-Signal	Yes	5.02K
rabbyl	Yes	2K

10 of 61 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for December is scheduled to be released on December 18. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's December 2025 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.